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Monday, June 23, 2008

Excessive overtime is not effective

Sometimes we have to work overtime in order to get a rush job completed or put the finishing touches on a priority project. But if we work overtime on a regular basis, we seldom gain the productivity return that we expect. In fact, the law of diminishing returns takes over, and every extra hour of work brings increasingly less than an equivalent hour of results. Here are five examples of how productivity can be hampered by excessive amounts of overtime:

1. The probability of making an error is usually greater. And If the overtime is consistent, quality of work could suffer. If you’re working “on your own time”, it’s easy to justify mediocre performance.

2. Long hours can lead to increased stress or burnout as well as emotional problems due to conflicts with family time, feelings of guilt about missing children’s events, etc.

3. The fact that overtime can become habitual, whether it is needed or not, takes away the productivity gain that accompanies an occasional burst of extra energy.

4. Interruptions increase if people are also working overtime; they seem more apt to socialize when the clock isn’t running. Excessive overtime can also become a smoke screen to hide inefficiencies.

5. Productivity may decrease during regular hours, since you have the option of finishing it later. It may also encourage procrastination.

A deadline to work towards, such as 5 p.m., always makes people more productive; if there’s no “quitting time”, there’s no deadline.

 

Saturday, June 7, 2008

HOW TO TAKE 'SPOKEN' WORDS BACK !!

Communication Recovery – Six Step Model

Have you ever said something unintentionally offensive & wished you could take it back? You know how awkward it feels when communication goes awry - it does very often. Even with the best of intent to be correct, you say things biased or objectionable.  You may ignore it & hope no one notices. (It does get, for sure!) Or, you can employ a strategy for recovery.

"Communication Recovery" involves accepting your mistake, sincerely apologizing, & then moving on in a more positive way. This skill is underutilized. When things go wrong in communication, many shy away from trying to recover, are afraid things may become worse, don't know what to do. The good news is Communication Recovery is possible, not difficult to do, & has a big payoff.

Communication Recovery allows you to acknowledge mistake – when you have unintentionally demeaned, discounted, or hurt  others. Gives you a chance to rebuild communication with listener(s) & enhance credibility. The process includes 6 quick steps & takes 30 seconds or less. It is painless.

 1. Accept the Feedback – Give some sign that you are open to input - listening & thanking the listner.

 2. Acknowledge Intent & Impact – most important thing is to recognize negative impact of your statement or behavior on the listner, regardless of your good intent.

 3. Apologize – Say "I'm sorry" or "I apologize," and do so sincerely.

 4. Ask Questions for Clarification – If you don't understand the feedback you're given, ask questions for greater clarity.

 5. Adjust/Change – State/demonstrate what you will do differently, clear sign you've accepted the feedback & not to repeat offense.

 6. Move Forward – Recovery is a quick process. You don't need to linger. Move on once the listener is ready.

Of these, Acceptance  of feedback & apologizing is most powerful. In its simplest form, recovery sounds like this:"Thanks for telling me. I'm sorry."

HOW TO TAKE 'SPOKEN' WORDS BACK !!

Communication Recovery – Six Step Model

Have you ever said something unintentionally offensive & wished you could take it back? You know how awkward it feels when communication goes awry - it does very often. Even with the best of intent to be correct, you say things biased or objectionable.  You may ignore it & hope no one notices. (It does get, for sure!) Or, you can employ a strategy for recovery.

"Communication Recovery" involves accepting your mistake, sincerely apologizing, & then moving on in a more positive way. This skill is underutilized. When things go wrong in communication, many shy away from trying to recover, are afraid things may become worse, don't know what to do. The good news is Communication Recovery is possible, not difficult to do, & has a big payoff.

Communication Recovery allows you to acknowledge mistake – when you have unintentionally demeaned, discounted, or hurt  others. Gives you a chance to rebuild communication with listener(s) & enhance credibility. The process includes 6 quick steps & takes 30 seconds or less. It is painless.

 1. Accept the Feedback – Give some sign that you are open to input - listening & thanking the listner.

 2. Acknowledge Intent & Impact – most important thing is to recognize negative impact of your statement or behavior on the listner, regardless of your good intent.

 3. Apologize – Say "I'm sorry" or "I apologize," and do so sincerely.

 4. Ask Questions for Clarification – If you don't understand the feedback you're given, ask questions for greater clarity.

 5. Adjust/Change – State/demonstrate what you will do differently, clear sign you've accepted the feedback & not to repeat offense.

 6. Move Forward – Recovery is a quick process. You don't need to linger. Move on once the listener is ready.

Of these, Acceptance  of feedback & apologizing is most powerful. In its simplest form, recovery sounds like this:"Thanks for telling me. I'm sorry."

HOW TO TAKE 'SPOKEN' WORDS BACK !!

Communication Recovery – Six Step Model

Have you ever said something unintentionally offensive & wished you could take it back? You know how awkward it feels when communication goes awry - it does very often. Even with the best of intent to be correct, you say things biased or objectionable.  You may ignore it & hope no one notices. (It does get, for sure!) Or, you can employ a strategy for recovery.

"Communication Recovery" involves accepting your mistake, sincerely apologizing, & then moving on in a more positive way. This skill is underutilized. When things go wrong in communication, many shy away from trying to recover, are afraid things may become worse, don't know what to do. The good news is Communication Recovery is possible, not difficult to do, & has a big payoff.

Communication Recovery allows you to acknowledge mistake – when you have unintentionally demeaned, discounted, or hurt  others. Gives you a chance to rebuild communication with listener(s) & enhance credibility. The process includes 6 quick steps & takes 30 seconds or less. It is painless.

 1. Accept the Feedback – Give some sign that you are open to input - listening & thanking the listner.

 2. Acknowledge Intent & Impact – most important thing is to recognize negative impact of your statement or behavior on the listner, regardless of your good intent.

 3. Apologize – Say "I'm sorry" or "I apologize," and do so sincerely.

 4. Ask Questions for Clarification – If you don't understand the feedback you're given, ask questions for greater clarity.

 5. Adjust/Change – State/demonstrate what you will do differently, clear sign you've accepted the feedback & not to repeat offense.

 6. Move Forward – Recovery is a quick process. You don't need to linger. Move on once the listener is ready.

Of these, Acceptance  of feedback & apologizing is most powerful. In its simplest form, recovery sounds like this:"Thanks for telling me. I'm sorry."

HOW TO TAKE 'SPOKEN' WORDS BACK !!

Communication Recovery – Six Step Model

Have you ever said something unintentionally offensive & wished you could take it back? You know how awkward it feels when communication goes awry - it does very often. Even with the best of intent to be correct, you say things biased or objectionable.  You may ignore it & hope no one notices. (It does get, for sure!) Or, you can employ a strategy for recovery.

"Communication Recovery" involves accepting your mistake, sincerely apologizing, & then moving on in a more positive way. This skill is underutilized. When things go wrong in communication, many shy away from trying to recover, are afraid things may become worse, don't know what to do. The good news is Communication Recovery is possible, not difficult to do, & has a big payoff.

Communication Recovery allows you to acknowledge mistake – when you have unintentionally demeaned, discounted, or hurt  others. Gives you a chance to rebuild communication with listener(s) & enhance credibility. The process includes 6 quick steps & takes 30 seconds or less. It is painless.

 1. Accept the Feedback – Give some sign that you are open to input - listening & thanking the listner.

 2. Acknowledge Intent & Impact – most important thing is to recognize negative impact of your statement or behavior on the listner, regardless of your good intent.

 3. Apologize – Say "I'm sorry" or "I apologize," and do so sincerely.

 4. Ask Questions for Clarification – If you don't understand the feedback you're given, ask questions for greater clarity.

 5. Adjust/Change – State/demonstrate what you will do differently, clear sign you've accepted the feedback & not to repeat offense.

 6. Move Forward – Recovery is a quick process. You don't need to linger. Move on once the listener is ready.

Of these, Acceptance  of feedback & apologizing is most powerful. In its simplest form, recovery sounds like this:"Thanks for telling me. I'm sorry."

Kinesics, The Interpretation of Body Language

Kinesics is the interpretation of body language such as facial expressions and gestures — or, more formally, non-verbal behaviour related to movement, either of any part of the body or the body as a whole.
The term was first used (in 1952) by Ray Birdwhistell, a ballet dancer turned anthropologist who wished to study how people communicate through posture, gesture, stance, and movement. Part of Birdwhistell's work involved making film of people in social situations and analyzing them to show different levels of communication not clearly seen otherwise..
Drawing heavily on descriptive linguistics, Birdwhistell argued that all movements of the body have meaning (ie. are not accidental), and that these non-verbal forms of language (or paralanguage) have a grammar that can be analysed in similar terms to spoken language. Thus, a "kineme" is "similar to a phoneme because it consists of a group of movements which are not identical, but which may be used interchangeably without affecting social meaning"
Birdwhistell estimated that "no more than 30 to 35 percent of the social meaning of a conversation or an interaction is carried by the words."
A few Birdwhistell-isms are as follows:
• Social personality is a temporo-spatial system. All behaviors evinced by any such system are components of the system except as related to different levels of abstractions.
• Even if no participant of an interaction field can recall, or repeat in a dramatized context, a given series or sequence of body motions, the appearance of a motion is of significance to the general study of the particular kinesic system even if the given problem can be rationalized without reference to it.
• All meaningful body motion patterns are to be regarded as socially learned until empirical investigation reveals otherwise.
• No kineme ever stands alone.
In one current application, kinesics are used as signs of deception by interviewers. Interviewers look for clusters of movements to determine the veracity of the statement being uttered. Some related words may be:
• Emblems a substitute for words and phrases
• Illustrators accompany or reinforce verbal messages
• Affect Displays Show emotion
• Regulators Control the flow and pace of communication
• Adaptors Release physical or emotional tension
Kinesics are an important part of non-verbal communication behavior. The movement of the body, or separate parts, conveys many specific meanings and the interpretations may be culture bound. As many movements are carried out at a subconscious or at least a low-awareness level, kinesic movements carry a significant risk of being misinterpreted in an intercultural communications situation.

The Japanese 5-S housekeeping program, To increase the production

Although the concept originated in Japan following World War II, the “5-S” program for organizing work areas is currently a popular trend in management. Sometimes referred to as elements, each of the five components of the program begins with the letter “S,” as transliterated from Japanese — thus, the term 5-S. In the U.S., these terms are roughly translated to “S” words in English to maintain the 5-S name. Accordingly, the elements include sort, systemize, shine or sweep, standardize, and sustain. In the U.K., the concept is converted to the 5-C program comprising five comparable components: clear out, configure, clean and check, conformity, and custom and practice.


The 5-S program is frequently combined with precepts of the Lean Manufacturing Initiative. Even when used separately, however, the 5-S (or 5-C) program is said to yield excellent results. Implementation of the program involves introducing each of the five elements in order, which reportedly generates multiple benefits, including product diversification, higher quality, lower costs, reliable deliveries, improved safety, and higher availability rate.

Originally developed as more than a housekeeping program, the concept was initially intended “to improve activities to ensure any company's survival.” Given the structure of the program, however, it has been widely accepted in the U.S. more as a housekeeping model than a company-survival strategy.

Among the five components, the most important are the first two: sort, and systemize or set in order. These two elements are essential to achieving zero defects, cost reduction, safety improvements, and zero accidents. The key principle underlying the success of such measures is that routines maintaining organization and orderliness are essential to a smooth and efficient flow of activities.

The greatest promoters of the 5-S system are safety departments, since the benefits to safety are greatly apparent to safety personnel. To a safety representative having visited hundreds of concrete production plants, an obvious pattern emerges: the more profitable, efficient — and yes, happier — plants always seem to maintain a clean and orderly yard and production area. Conversely, plants with scattered product and waste that clean up only rarely tend not to recognize that orderliness and housekeeping contribute to efficiency and morale. The noncleanup group then faces a cleanup process that becomes a major cost expenditure with no readily visible return on the investment.

The experienced safety representative also notices that the unorganized plants seem to have higher turnover rates and other employee problems. Workers begin to dress carelessly and produce shoddy product in accordance with management expectation. Once the plants have operated in this mode for some time, changing the operation is a major undertaking since more than just cleanup is needed. A common retort to housekeeping recommendations is “I know where everything is so there is no need to reorganize it.” A quick walk around the plant soon proves that old product and machinery cast aside years or decades ago, in fact, are lost forever.


Sort (Seiri, translated as organization):

The first key element requires organizing the workplace by removing all items from the site that are not needed for current production operations. Clearly distinguish required materials from unneeded items and eliminate the latter. Though old equipment, tools and old product may have some future value, storing those materials in a separate area for review in the third phase — ‘shine’ — will facilitate overall productivity.

This material should be removed from the workplace since waste is defined as excess inventory, unnecessary transportation costs for extra parts and inventory requiring extra pallets, large quantities of stocked items that become obsolete over time, extraneous in-process inventory, and related machine breakdowns and wear. Currently unused equipment also poses a daily obstacle to production activities and contributes to the clutter of unneeded materials.

Safety- related improvements include separating old equipment that is commonly not maintained before employees are required to use it. Training employees on the old and unfamiliar machines or requiring maintenance personnel to utilize cast-aside equipment frequently incurs significant hidden costs — greater than the capital investment required for new equipment, if needed. These costs include excess waste product generated from unfamiliar, old, and poorly maintained equipment.

Systemize, or Set in Order (Seiton, translated as tidiness):

The second key element includes arranging only the needed items so that they are easy to use and labeling them so that they are easily found and put away. This element is intended to make the production process easy to understand so that anyone can find what is needed and return the items to their appropriate places.

Shine (Seiso, translated as purity):

‘Shine’ relates to cleanliness and includes sweeping floors, cleaning equipment, and shoveling out unused material or debris on a daily basis. The concept of shine is to save labor by finding ways to prevent dirt, dust and debris from accumulating in the workplace. ‘Shine’ might include, for example, constructing a small hopper under the conveyor belt sweeper to collect debris or deciding what leftover equipment and in-stock inventory need to be categorized, evaluated and discarded, or tagged with a date for use and ultimate disposal (For example: Dispose on 1/2003).

Some plants may paint machine guards a bright color not only to promote safety by denoting a hazard, but also to make them readily visible should one be left off the equipment following maintenance. Color coding tools to clarify departmental use and ownership can also be a useful measure in this category. Striping floors to denote walk areas, electrical panel box areas, and other functional processes can be included as well. Steam cleaning equipment followed by painting also greatly improves the appearance of the work site.

Standardize (Seiketsu, translated as cleanliness):

This element, comprising less activity than the previous components, is intended to generate a maintenance system for the first three. Standardizing tends to follow the long-term implementation of the third phase, becoming the process itself of routinely maintaining ‘shine’. A well-established order of work greatly benefits the safety process.

At this point, the safety director has a golden opportunity to conduct a job-safety analysis (JSA) followed by the development of a safe operating procedure (SOP) for each job in the plant. How convenient a listing of each job task and its associated hazards would be when training new employees. The JSA can identify lockout-tagout and confined space entry problems, for example, that the SOP can take into account for standardized training. The development of JSAs and SOPs also contributes to the implementation of the fifth element of the program.

Sustain (Shitsuke, translated as discipline):

This is the discipline needed to make a habit of maintaining procedures. The cost and exertion required to establish a clean workplace are wasted if efforts are short lived. Although this element is the most difficult to measure, without this component, the other measures will not last. This is where an effectively designed safety inspection process can be very beneficial — provided it is not used as a whipping tool, which can defeat the 5-S program.


A self-enforced inspection process can be very effective. The implementation of the program might be enhanced by determining future dates on which the process will be repeatedly reinforced through additional training or other enhancement tools. Perhaps, the use of a simple definition board, or reiteration of principles in safety meetings for reinforcement, or repetition of the training process described in the following paragraph would also aid in the sustainability of the program.

The complete program can be implemented in a single workplace or in an entire plant. Obviously, dividing the process into manageable segments — implementing the process in one work area at a time, while moving through the whole plant and yard — is sometimes the more effective method for implementation. In applying the concepts of the program, one training tool commonly used is to have employees first think of one item they could get rid of, followed by identifying one item they could relocate to use more efficiently. These initial steps are followed by thinking of one item or area that would benefit from cleaning; and, one routine that could be established for eliminating, relocating, or cleaning items in the work area. Finally, the fifth element includes having employees think of some conditions to promote carrying out this routine.

If implemented correctly, 5-S will facilitate more effective communication, reduce environmental risk, improve product quality, identify safety hazards, and change employee attitudes from a self-defensive position to a team approach. Unfortunately, implementation can be a major task for plants that need it most. As a rule, the more efficient and neater operations are first to implement the program, perhaps because they have already experienced the benefits of an orderly workplace.

Just In Time (business), an inventory strategy implemented to improve the return on investment


Just In Time (JIT) is an inventory strategy implemented to improve the return on investment of a business by reducing in-process inventory and its associated costs. The process is driven by a series of signals, or Kanban (Jp. カンバン also 看板), that tell production processes to make the next part. Kanban are usually simple visual signals, such as the presence or absence of a part on a shelf. When implemented correctly, JIT can lead to dramatic improvements in a manufacturing organization's return on investment, quality, and efficiency.
New stock is ordered when stock reaches the re-order level. This saves warehouse space and costs. However, one drawback of the JIT system is that the re-order level is determined by historical demand. If demand rises above the historical average planning duration demand, the firm could deplete inventory and cause customer service issues. To meet a 95% service rate a firm must carry about 2 standard deviations of demand in safety stock. Forecasted shifts in demand should be planned for around the Kanban until trends can be established to reset the appropriate Kanban level. In recent years manufacturers have touted a trailing 13 week average is a better predictor than most forecastors could provide.
A related term is Kaizen which is an approach to productivity improvement literally meaning "continuous improvement" of process.

Contents

• 1 History
• 2 Philosophy
• 3 Effects
• 4 Benefits
• 5 Problems
o 5.1 Within a JIT System
o 5.2 Within a raw material stream
o 5.3 Oil
• 6 Theory
• 7 See also
• 8 References
• 9 External links


History

The technique was first used by the Ford Motor Company as described explicitly by Henry Ford's My Life and Work (1922): "We have found in buying materials that it is not worthwhile to buy for other than immediate needs. We buy only enough to fit into the plan of production, taking into consideration the state of transportation at the time. If transportation were perfect and an even flow of materials could be assured, it would not be necessary to carry any stock whatsoever. The carloads of raw materials would arrive on schedule and in the planned order and amounts, and go from the railway cars into production. That would save a great deal of money, for it would give a very rapid turnover and thus decrease the amount of money tied up in materials. With bad transportation one has to carry larger stocks." This statement also describes the concept of "dock to factory floor" in which incoming materials are not even stored or warehoused before going into production. This paragraph also shows the need for an effective freight management system (FMS) and Ford's Today and Tomorrow (1926) describes one.
The technique was subsequently adopted and publicised by Toyota Motor Corporation of Japan as part of its Toyota Production System (TPS).
Japanese corporations cannot afford large amounts of land to warehouse finished products and parts. Before the 1950s, this was thought to be a disadvantage because it reduced the economic lot size. (An economic lot size is the number of identical products that should be produced, given the cost of changing the production process over to another product.) The undesirable result was poor return on investment for a factory.
The chief engineer at Toyota in the 1950s, Taiichi Ohno examined accounting assumptions and realized that another method was possible. The factory could be made more flexible, reducing the overhead costs of retooling and reducing the economic lot size to the available warehouse space.
Over a period of several years, Toyota engineers redesigned car models for commonality of tooling for such production processes as paint-spraying and welding. Toyota was one of the first to apply flexible robotic systems for these tasks. Some of the changes were as simple as standardizing the hole sizes used to hang parts on hooks. The number and types of fasteners were reduced in order to standardize assembly steps and tools. In some cases, identical subassemblies could be used in several models.
Toyota engineers then determined that the remaining critical bottleneck in the retooling process was the time required to change the stamping dies used for body parts. These were adjusted by hand, using crowbars and wrenches. It sometimes took as long as several days to install a large (multiton) die set and adjust it for acceptable quality. Further, these were usually installed one at a time by a team of experts, so that the line was down for several weeks.
Toyota implemented a strategy called Single Minute Exchange of Die (SMED), developed by Shigeo Shingo. With very simple fixtures, measurements were substituted for adjustments. Almost immediately, die change times fell to about half an hour. At the same time, quality of the stampings became controlled by a written recipe, reducing the skill required for the change. Analysis showed that the remaining time was used to search for hand tools and move dies. Procedural changes (such as moving the new die in place with the line in operation) and dedicated tool-racks reduced the die-change times to as little as 40 seconds. Dies were changed in a ripple through the factory as a new product began flowing.
After SMED, economic lot sizes fell to as little as one vehicle in some Toyota plants.
Carrying the process into parts-storage made it possible to store as little as one part in each assembly station. When a part disappeared, that was used as a signal to produce or order a replacement.

Philosophy

Just-in-time (JIT) inventory systems are not just a simple method that a company has to buy in to; it has a whole philosophy that the company must follow. The ideas in this philosophy come from many different disciplines including; statistics, industrial engineering, production management and behavioral science. In the JIT inventory philosophy there are views with respect to how inventory is looked upon, what it says about the management within the company, and the main principle behind JIT.
Firstly, inventory is seen as incurring costs instead of adding value, contrary to traditional thinking. Under the philosophy, businesses are encouraged to eliminate inventory that doesn't add value to the product. Secondly, it sees inventory as a sign of sub par management as it is simply there to hide problems within the production system. These problems include backups at work centres, lack of flexibility for employees and equipment, and inadequate capacity among other things.
In short, the just-in-time inventory system is all about having "the right material, at the right time, at the right place, and in the exact amount."

Effects

Some of the results were unexpected. A huge amount of cash appeared, apparently from nowhere, as in-process inventory was built out and sold. This by itself generated tremendous enthusiasm in upper management.
Another surprising effect was that the response time of the factory fell to about a day. This improved customer satisfaction by providing vehicles usually within a day or two of the minimum economic shipping delay.
Also, many vehicles began to be built to order, completely eliminating the risk they would not be sold. This dramatically improved the company's return on equity by eliminating a major source of risk.
Since assemblers no longer had a choice of which part to use, every part had to fit perfectly. The result was a severe quality assurance crisis, and a dramatic improvement in product quality. Eventually, Toyota redesigned every part of its vehicles to eliminate or widen tolerances, while simultaneously implementing careful statistical controls. (See Total Quality Management). Toyota had to test and train suppliers of parts in order to assure quality and delivery. In some cases, the company eliminated multiple suppliers.
When a process problem or bad parts surfaced on the production line, the entire production line had to be slowed or even stopped. No inventory meant that a line could not operate from in-process inventory while a production problem was fixed. Many people in Toyota confidently predicted that the initiative would be abandoned for this reason. In the first week, line stops occurred almost hourly. But by the end of the first month, the rate had fallen to a few line stops per day. After six months, line stops had so little economic effect that Toyota installed an overhead pull-line, similar to a bus bell-pull, that permitted any worker on the production line to order a line stop for a process or quality problem. Even with this, line stops fell to a few per week.
The result was a factory that became the envy of the industrialized world, and has since been widely emulated.
The Just in Time philosophy was also applied to other segments of the supply chain in several types of industries. In the commercial sector, it meant eliminating one or all of the warehouses in the link between a factory and a retail establishment.

Benefits

As most companies use an inventory system best suited for their company, the Just-In-Time Inventory System (JIT) can have many benefits resulting from it. The main benefits of JIT are listed below.
1. Set up times are significantly reduced in the warehouse. Cutting down the set up time to be more productive will allow the company to improve their bottom line to look more efficient and focus time spend on other areas that may need improvement.
2. The flows of goods from warehouse to shelves are improved. Having employees focused on specific areas of the system will allow them to process goods faster instead of having them vulnerable to fatigue from doing too many jobs at once and simplifies the tasks at hand.
3. Employees who possess multi-skills are utilized more efficiently. Having employees trained to work on different parts of the inventory cycle system will allow companies to use workers in situations where they are needed when there is a shortage of workers and a high demand for a particular product.
4. Better consistency of scheduling and consistency of employee work hours. If there is no demand for a product at the time, workers don't have to be working. This can save the company money by not having to pay workers for a job not completed or could have them focus on other jobs around the warehouse that would not necessarily be done on a normal day.
5. Increased emphasis on supplier relationships. No company wants a break in their inventory system that would create a shortage of supplies while not having inventory sit on shelves. Having a trusting supplier relationship means that you can rely on goods being there when you need them in order to satisfy the company and keep the company name in good standing with the public.
6. Supplies continue around the clock keeping workers productive and businesses focused on turnover. Having management focused on meeting deadlines will make employees work hard to meet the company goals to see benefits in terms of job satisfaction, promotion or even higher pay.

Problems

Within a JIT System

The major problem with Just In Time operation is that it leaves the supplier and downstream consumers open to supply shocks. In part, this was seen as a feature rather than a bug by Ohno, who used the analogy of lowering the level of a river in order to expose the rocks to explain how removing inventory showed where flow of production was interrupted. Once the barriers were exposed, they could be removed; since one of the main barriers was rework, lowering inventory forced each shop to improve its own quality or cause a holdup in the next downstream area. Just In Time is a means to improving performance of the system, not an end.
With shipments coming in sometimes several times per day, Toyota is especially susceptible to an interruption in the flow. For that reason, Toyota is careful to use two suppliers for most assemblies. As noted in Liker (2003), there was an exception to this rule that put the entire company at risk by the 1997 Aisin fire. However, since Toyota also makes a point of maintaining high quality relations with its entire supplier network, several suppliers immediately took up production of the Aisin-built parts by using existing capability and documentation. Thus, a strong, long-term relationship with a few suppliers is preferred to short-term, price-based relationships with competing suppliers.

Within a raw material stream

As noted by Liker (2003) and Womack and Jones (2003), it would ultimately be desirable to introduce flow and JIT all the way back through the supply stream. However, none of them followed this logically all the way back through the processes to the raw materials. With present technology, for example, an ear of corn cannot be grown and delivered to order [1]. The same is true of most raw materials, which must be discovered and/or grown through natural processes that require time and must account for natural variability in weather and discovery.

Oil

It has been frequently charged that the oil industry has been influenced by JIT (see here (2004), here (1996), and here (1996)). The argument is presented as follows:
The number of refineries in the United States has fallen from 279 in 1975 to 205 in 1990 and further to 149 in 2004. As a result, the industry is susceptible to supply shocks, which cause spikes in prices and subsequently reduction in domestic manufacturing output. The effects of hurricanes Katrina and Rita are given as an example: in 2005, Katrina caused the shutdown of 9 refineries in Louisiana and 6 more in Mississippi, and a large number of oil production and transfer facilities, resulting in the loss of 20% of the US domestic refinery output. Rita subsequently shut down refineries in Texas, further reducing output. The GDP figures for the third and fourth quarters showed a slowdown from 3.5% to 1.2% growth. Similar arguments were made in earlier crises.
Beside the obvious point that prices went up because of the reduction in supply and not for anything to do with the practice of JIT, JIT students and even oil & gas industry analysts question whether JIT as it has been developed by Ohno, Goldratt, and others is used by the petroleum industry. Companies routinely shut down facilities for reasons other than the application of JIT. One of those reasons may be economic rationalization: when the benefits of operating no longer outweigh the costs, including opportunity costs, the plant may be economically inefficient. JIT has never subscribed to such considerations directly; following Waddel and Bodek (2005), this ROI-based thinking conforms more to Brown-style accounting and Sloan management. Further, and more significantly, JIT calls for a reduction in inventory capacity, not production capacity. From 1975 to 1990 to 2005, the annual average stocks of gasoline have fallen by only 8.5% from 228,331 to 222,903 bbls to 208,986 (Energy Information Administration data). Stocks fluctuate seasonally by as much as 20,000 bbls. During the 2005 hurricane season, stocks never fell below 194,000 thousand bbls, while the low for the period 1990 to 2006 was 187,017 thousand bbls in 1997. This shows that while industry storage capacity has decreased in the last 30 years, it hasn't been drastically reduced as JIT practitioners would prefer.
Finally, as shown in a pair of articles in the Oil & Gas Journal, JIT does not seem to have been a goal of the industry. In Waguespack and Cantor (1996), the authors point out that JIT would require a significant change in the supplier/refiner relationship, but the changes in inventories in the oil industry exhibit none of those tendencies. Specifically, the relationships remain cost-driven among many competing suppliers rather than quality-based among a select few long-term relationships. They find that a large part of the shift came about because of the availability of short-haul crudes from Latin America. In the follow-up editorial, the Oil & Gas Journal claimed that "casually adopting popular business terminology that doesn't apply" had provided a "rhetorical bogey" to industry critics. Confessing that they had been as guilty as other media sources, they confirmed that "It also happens not to be accurate."

Theory

Consider a (highly) simplified mathematical model of the ordering process.
Let:
K = the incremental cost of placing an order
kc = the annual cost of carrying one unit of inventory
D = annual demand in units
Q = optimal order size in units
TC = total cost over the year
We want to know Q.
We assume that demand is constant and that the company runs down the stock to zero and then places an order, which arrives instantly. Hence the average stock held (the average of zero and Q, assuming constant usage) is Q / 2. Also, the annual number of orders placed is D / Q.
TC consists of two components. The first is the cost of carrying inventory, which is given by Q * kc / 2, i.e. the average inventory times the carrying cost per unit. The second cost is the cost of placing orders, given by D * K / Q, the annual number of orders, D / Q. times the cost per order, K.
Thus total annual cost is
.

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which is known as the Economic Order Quantity or EOQ formula.
The key Japanese breakthrough was to reduce K to a very low level and to resupply frequently instead of holding excess stocks.
In practice JIT works well for many businesses, but it is not appropriate if K is not small.
The theory above can be fairly easily adapted to take into account realistic features such as delays in delivery times and fluctuations in demand.
Both of these are usually modelled by normal distributions.
The delay in delivery, in particular, means that additional 'safety stocks' need to be held if a stockout is to be rendered very unlikely.

The art of Time Management


   How often do you wish there were 48 hours in a day? As a college student,you have just about five years at your disposal: three-four years at the Bachelor's level and two years at the postgraduate level.How you manage this limited span of time to allow for a variety of activities — balancing the multiple work pressures as you tackle the vast syllabus and class projects, preparing for college elections and activities and studying for internal and competitive exams — will determine whether you sink or sail.
   Remember: The secret lies in how you utilise the time at hand. It's only the busy person who has time for everything. When we say that we have no time, it simply means that we are unable to manage our time properly. The fact is that if we take care of the minutes, the hours will take care of themselves.
   In college as in life, you can't read everything, you can't do everything; you can't learn everything. Assigning the same priority to each task is to wind up with 40 tasks all tied for first call on your time. Who wouldn't like to participate in extra-curricular activities without losing focus of curricular tasks? But then there are assignments, homework, tutorials, self-study - you have to manage all these as well.
   So what is the actual time available to a student in one academic year? Of the 8,760 hours in a year, you will spend roughly 900 in the classroom, 30 in taking exams and 90 on co-curricular activities. Knock off roughly 2,555 hours of sleep (seven hours per-day), about 730 hours for food and another 1,095 hours for personal relaxation, grooming and sundry chores, and you are left with barely 3,360 hours for study and personal development.
   The challenge always with new plans and renewed motivation is time. Simply put, there's just not enough to go round.
   Time management, is basically utilising the time at your disposal in the best possible way to strike a harmonious balance between your physical, social, emotional, intellectual and recreational activities.
   While there's no formula, time management rests on three basic pillars — Understanding the value of time; Budgeting time judiciously; Focussing on the task at hand.

Here are 10 tips to help you manage your time more effectively:



Time is precious:

Time is unidirectional. Once lost, it's gone forever. It is therefore essential to value it as a limited and fleeting resource. Wasted time is one thing that can't be recycled.

Leverage your own time:

Look at how you spend time in a typical day. What can you stop doing, or do less of? If you use your time carefully, you will have more of it for things that make a difference.

Budget your time:

Even more than money,we need to budget our time judiciously. The art lies in laying down priorities for work, fixing minimum and maximum time slots for different activities and managing within the 24-hour day. Never close a week without planning a schedule for the next one. Prepare a daily time schedule. But do factor in minor adjustments. M a i n t a i n i n g re g u l a r i t y pays dividends.
   Also, you can't possibly cut down on sleep, can you? A relaxed mind learns (and retains) far better and quicker than
one under tension. Make sure you budget some time for relaxation and exercise in your schedule, how so ever busy.

The early bird gets the worm:

An early start saves a lot of time. If possible, begin and complete your assignments and projects well in time to avoid undue tension. Don't wait till the very last moment to get cracking. Make ‘Defeat the Deadline’ your motto.

Table your intent:

Start by preparing a timetable. To draw up a schedule that will work for you, factor in your preferred style of study ie your ‘prime time’ (you will find that you function at your peak at a particular time, this is the best time to handle ‘tough’ tasks). Similarly, make a note of your average attention span. Only you know which learning method works best for you. Then, match your style with the course requirements. Each study period must
cover one learning objective. Ideally, it should not exceed beyond 90 minutes. Although individual attention spans can vary somewhat, research on learning patterns shows that the speed and effectiveness of learning changes with time. After about 25 minutes, the attention curve begins to dip.Teachers are aware of this and attempt to restart the curve every 20 minutes or so by introducing a new activity like asking a question or cracking a joke to liven things up and change the pace.

Create a learning environment:

An environment conducive to learning is useful. If you think you can sit or curl up anywhere and learn, you may be wrong. The most comfortable environment does not necessarily promote learning. The best environment is one where you feel motivated, alert and reasonably comfortable to study.

Jot it down:

How often do we find ourselves mumbling, "If only I could remember…" The simple solution to this problem is to always carry a pencil and paper with you. The moment you get a unique idea or you hear something noteworthy — just scribble it down, and file it where it is easily accessible. This is an absolute time saver!

Watch out for potential time-wasters:

Lack of selfdiscipline, idling, daydreaming, procrastinating (putting off or postponing unpleasant or difficult tasks), focusing on trivia, aimless channel surfing or browsing the Net are some of the most notorious time wasters to avoid. They surreptitiously whittle away at time without you even realising it.

Prioritise your interests.

There are just that many hours in a day. Its better to concentrate on a few select interests and hone them to perfection instead of trying to dabble in a large number of activities that leave you exhausted and unsatisfied.

Seek help:

Despite all the planning and determination, you may, at times, find that you are unable to stick to your schedule. At such times, seek help from someone close to you. Discuss your goals and enlist their help in helping you stick to your schedule.
   Time management is a 'skill' and, an 'art' that we can develop through careful practice. And the sooner we start the better.
   Remember you have the same 24 hours per day that were given to Helen Keller, Mother Teresa, Louis Pasteur, Michelangelo, Leonardo da Vinci or Albert Einstein. It's how you use it that makes the difference.

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